Bednar’s curveball marks a nice change of velocity from his harder stuff, with an 18.5 mph difference between his fastball (95.3) and curve (76.8). The breaking ball shows similar fly ball tendencies to the other offspeed option in Bednar’s arsenal, but giving up an average exit velocity of 77 mph kept the curve from being bitten by the homer bug like his splitter was.
For as often as Bednar gets his fastball over the plate (60% zone rate), the rookie reliever’s 17.4% walk rate doubled his 8.7% strikeout rate. Opponents tagged the heater, which sits comfortably in the mid-90s, for a.313/.429/.563 slash line and .406 wOBA.
If Bednar wants to parlay his 2019 cup of coffee into an expanded role in the Padres’ bullpen, his split-finger fastball (learned from Hideo Nomo, no less) is a decent foundation to build on. The hard splitter averaged 88 mph and racked up a 50% strikeout rate in limited action, bolstered by some shiny peripherals (.165 xBA, .262 xWOBA). But a 50% fly-ball rate hand in hand with a gaudy 40% HR/FB rate proves Bednar must find ways to suppress the long ball.