Dallas Keuchel

Age 32
  • Born 01/01/1988
  • Bats L
  • Team: Chicago White Sox
2019 Statistics
2020 Prediction
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14.5% Thrown 79.7 MPH 22 CSW%
53.5% Thrown 88.4 MPH 27.6 CSW%
20.6% Thrown 86.3 MPH 19.6 CSW%
11.4% Thrown 78.5 MPH 32.3 CSW%

Opponents hit just .213 off of Keuchel’s changeup in 2019, and that’s with a neutral .286 BABIP on the pitch. The pitch continues to yield solid ground-ball rates and a very respectable 27.7 K%.

GIF made by Andy Patton. Blurb written by Daniel MacDonald

Keuchel’s sinker bounceback from a horrid 2018 season in which he walked more than he struckout. His exit-velocity against rose in 2019 however so his wOBA ended up being very close but his groundball rate rose back over 70% and that’s exactly what you want from it.

GIF made by NP. Blurb written by Jamie Sayer

Keuchel leaned heavily into the cutter as his speed offering in 2019, and results were mixed. The pitch yielded a .363 opponent wOBA and 130 wRC+, and that’s with a below-average .226 opponent BABIP.

GIF made by Andy Patton. Blurb written by Daniel MacDonald

A slider that was used to get swings outside the zone in 2019, Keuchel’s saw its swinging-strike rate go back up to a respectable 15.5%. He used it mostly against lefties away early in the season but started towards the end of the year to use it more against righties.

GIF made by NP. Blurb written by Jamie Sayer
41.8% Thrown 89.1 MPH
18.8% Thrown 78.8 MPH
13.9% Thrown 89.6 MPH
12.7% Thrown 86.2 MPH
12.7% Thrown 79.7 MPH

Keuchel’s go-to pitch was his two-seamer, which helped him lead the league in ground-ball rate again with a 66.2% mark on the offering. As you would expect, he lives or dies by his defense, as the BABIP on this pitch fluctuates year to year.

While Keuchel’s slider normally gets a ton of whiffs, his O-swing and swinging-strike rates both dropped drastically in 2019, showing that batters weren’t chasing like they normally would. Still, he got an elite 43% strikeout rate on the pitch.

Keuchel used his four-seamer more in 2018 to get a strike, as its zone percentage went up from 36.8 to 54.0. It was also the fastest he’s been able to throw it since 2016.

Keuchel’s pitch that got the most swinging-strikes was his cutter, which unfortunately had an increase in fly-ball rate and a decrease in HR/FB% from 2017 to 2018—meaning he may not be as lucky in 2019 with the pitch.

With some good arm-side movement, Keuchel’s changeup was still decent, albeit was worse than 2017. It saw its swinging-strike and O-swing rates drop, and its contact, fly-ball, and line-drive percentages go up.

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