Ariel Jurado

Age 24 SP
  • Born 01/30/1996
  • Bats R
  • Team: Texas Rangers
2019 Statistics
W-L
7-11
IP
122.1
ERA
5.81
WHIP
1.50
K
81
K%
15.0
2020 Prediction
Coming Soon
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2018
2019
Changeup
12.1% Thrown 85.2 MPH 23.9 CSW%
Curveball
8.4% Thrown 80.3 MPH 40.9 CSW%
Four-Seamer
64.5% Thrown 92.3 MPH 24.9 CSW%
Slider
15.0% Thrown 85.2 MPH 23.9 CSW%

Jurado’s 85.19 mph changeup was by far his most valuable pitch in 2019, generating 2.2 pitch value. This was a solid improvement from his rookie season, when it generated just 0.3 pVAL.

GIF made by Andy Patton. Blurb written by Ryan Smythe

Jurado threw his curveball about a mile and a half faster this past season, averaging 80.31 mph compared to 78.9 mph the season before.

GIF made by Andy Patton. Blurb written by Ryan Smythe

Jurado throws both a sinker and a four-seam fastball, but neither one managed to bring him much success in his second season in the majors. It generated a brutal -12.5 pitch value in 2019.

GIF made by Andy Patton. Blurb written by Ryan Smythe

While Jurado’s fastball may have generated the lowest value of all of his pitches in 2019, his 85.2 mph slider took the steepest dive from 2018 to 2019, dropping from -1.2 pitch value all the way down to -9.6 pitch value.

GIF made by Andy Patton. Blurb written by Ryan Smythe
2018
2019
Two-Seamer
59.4% Thrown 91.7 MPH
Changeup
11.5% Thrown 84.3 MPH
Four-Seamer
10.8% Thrown 92.2 MPH
Slider
9.2% Thrown 84.7 MPH
Curveball
9.0% Thrown 78.3 MPH

Jurado’s main pitch, thrown 59.41% of the time this past season, the two-seam fastball really struggled to miss bats as evidenced by a 96.2% contact rate against. A quality 55.9% ground-ball rate wasn’t enough to limit the contact as opponents hit .324/.365/.496 against the pitch, resulting in a -5.5 pVal.

Thrown roughly 11.52% of the time in 2018, Jurado’s changeup was his second-best pitch. It featured an 8.9% swinging-strike rate along with a 42.9% ground-ball rate. A .214 BABIP really helped the overall batting line against the pitch as opponents his just .233 against it. It was worth a 0.6 pVal.

Averaging 92.2 mph, Jurado’s four-seam fastball was not an effective pitch for him. A 90% contact rate along with an elevated .533 BABIP led to a poor .421/.560/.474 slash line against the pitch. The result was a -2.3 pVal.

Jurado’s slider featured a 9% swinging-strike rate, which is the highest of his repertoire, but it struggled to limit home runs thanks to an elevated 40% HR/FB rate. The result was a .526 slugging percentage against. A .154 BABIP though meant that the pitch allowed just a .211 batting average. All told, it was worth a 0.1 pVal.

The curveball was Jurado’s least-used weapon in 2018, but it notably finished as his best pitch according to pVal with a 2.1 mark. A 6.1% swinging-strike rate highlights its lack of bat-missing ability, but it managed contact well and limited hitters to just a .133/.133/.133 batting line on the back of a .167 BABIP.

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