Losing Our Hair Over Sampson
I think it’s time we come to an agreement about what to do with Adrian Sampson. He had a tough matchup last night against the Twins, returning a week-killing 3.1 IP, 7 ER, 11 Hits, 0 BBs, 5 Ks line and the possible excitement we had for the surprise Rangers starter is fading and rightly so. Save for a two-start stretch to begin his time as a starter, It’s a 7.40 ERA with a sub 5 IPS. That’s…not going to cut it. Yes, the strikeouts are still alive as a product of his great slider – about a strikeout per inning – but that slide piece isn’t enough. Batters hold a .342 batting average on his fastball this year (ouch) while his changeup relies on a .222 BABIP to be effective. And while I would still consider Sampson as a stream against teams like the Tigers and Royals, he’s best left on the wire until those rare matchups come along. This isn’t your second half savior.
Let’s see how every other SP did Friday:
Zach Davies – 5.0 IP, 0 ER, 4 Hits, 1 BBs, 4 Ks. Oh cool, now it’s just 2.21 points separating his ERA (3.07) and SIERA (5.28). Cool cool cool, no doubt no doubt no doubt.
Zack Greinke – 7.0 IP, 0 ER, 4 Hits, 0 BBs, 9 Ks. Aces gonna ace. Yes, he’s everything you wanted out of Greinke this year. It’s lovely.
Clayton Kershaw – 7.0 IP, 1 ER, 5 Hits, 1 BBs, 9 Ks. Aces gonna ace. I keep saying Greinke and Kershaw are the same and I kinda love how much they’ve been mimicking their starts as of late.
Noe Ramirez – 1.0 IP, 0 ER, 0 Hits, 0 BBs, 0 Ks. Noe, No, you didn’t really start this one. Felix Pena followed for 4.0 IP, 2 ER, 3 Hits, 2 BBs, 5 Ks as Felix only holds value as a reliever in max-start weekly leagues.
Julio Teheran – 6.0 IP, 0 ER, 5 Hits, 2 BBs, 6 Ks. He got the Marlins and returned under 9% whiffs. Just saying.
Jordan Yamamoto – 6.0 IP, 0 ER, 2 Hits, 3 BBs, 7 Ks. Just when we were leaning on Elieser to survive the Smithening, Yamamoto has himself a field day against the Braves. 32% CSW As he went pretty heavy on fastball/sliders here, with the addition of the rare curveball for a strike. I’m not really buying what he’s selling and I think Elieser brings more to the table and let’s see if the Marlins demote him now and keep him there.
Steven Brault – 4.0 IP, 1 ER, 3 Hits, 2 BBs, 4 Ks. Brault left this one with shoulder discomfort and you have to think Mitch Keller is getting another shot in the rotation. Yes, I’d pick him up.
Dylan Bundy – 6.2 IP, 1 ER, 3 Hits, 2 BBs, 6 Ks. I got a little excited seeing this line and went digging, hoping to see Bundy turning a corner to point out. Velocity? Nah, still under 92 mph. Increased slider usage? Nope, 25% is right in line, with just four whiffs too. Yeah, okay, how about changeups? 16% usage with just 25% CSW. So you’re telling me he somehow just didn’t allow a HR. Wrong! He allowed one. A solo shot. Ah. Yep.
Eric Lauer – 6.0 IP, 1 ER, 4 Hits, 1 BBs, 6 Ks. The Lauer ride continues as he’s returned exactly 1 ER in seven of his last nine games. That’s a 2.66 ERA with a 4.65 SIERA needing a 4.2% HR/FB (in this climate?!) to get there. Vargas Rule it if you want, I don’t want to be there when this bubble bursts.
Eduardo Rodriguez – 5.0 IP, 1 ER, 4 Hits, 1 BBs, 4 Ks. Edu did a great job as his start was limited by the rain. Why do I suddenly want there to always be rain when Edu starts.
Brett Anderson – 6.1 IP, 2 ER, 5 Hits, 0 BBs, 4 Ks. Branderson is just so boring and I’m already bored writing this. But he’s been somewhat good this year! And we all rejoiced. I get the feeling the second you put faith in him, he’ll return a clunker, like finally meeting that celebrity and she’s the worst person ever.
Jacob deGrom – 7.0 IP, 2 ER, 3 Hits, 3 BBs, 10 Ks. Aces gonna ace. It’s like it’s 2018 again with his production and lack of Wins.
Yusei Kikuchi – 7.0 IP, 2 ER, 4 Hits, 1 BBs, 5 Ks. So here’s something interesting that Fast pointed out to me. Kikuchi is leaning on his changeup more heavily as of late, here going 6/15 on whiffs with the pitch. If he’s feeling that pitch, it might be a good way to nullify the dip in velocity on Kikuchi’s heater, as he’s sitting 92/93 these days as opposed to 93-95. It helped lead to a 33/95 CSW against the A’s and there may be something to it. Not enough for me to chase yet, but I’m curious.
Aaron Sanchez – 5.0 IP, 2 ER, 3 Hits, 4 BBs, 5 Ks. Whoa, Sanchez wasn’t so bad! I mean, he still had four walks, and that’s a 1.40 WHIP, but hey! This isn’t cataclysmic!
Vince Velasquez – 5.0 IP, 2 ER, 6 Hits, 0 BBs, 3 Ks. If you started VV, you should be cool with this. You may have done it for the strikeouts – whoops, sorry – but the ratios are fine. I don’t think you can hope for much better from Velasquez these days.
Ryan Carpenter – 5.0 IP, 3 ER, 7 Hits, 1 BBs, 4 Ks. As prophesied, the Carpenter’s ratios have risen once again.
Dakota Hudson – 5.0 IP, 3 ER, 6 Hits, 3 BBs, 6 Ks. Ehhhhh if you’re going to go the 3 ER and 9 baserunners route, at least give us a VPQS along the way, you know? The six strikeouts are a surprise, though. I don’t expect that to stick around for Hudson.
Brendan McKay – 5.0 IP, 3 ER, 6 Hits, 0 BBs, 3 Ks. It wasn’t as sterling as his debut but I still like what McKay brings to the table. I didn’t expect him to feature so many curveballs – 0/24 whiffs there – and put his cutter on the backburner, a cutter that was well commanded throughout the game. I think some are going to see the back-to-back three K games and think he’s not a strikeout arm, but there’s a ton of upside in that deuce and ability to elevate with heat. Stick with him, this can be a special second-half run. But he just got demoted! That ole thing? Nah, with the ASB, the Rays can get a few innings out of a reliever or add extra depth for the few games in between his next starts and still have McKay back up on schedule. He’s coming back right away.
Martin Perez – 6.0 IP, 4 ER, 7 Hits, 2 BBs, 3 Ks. Perez’s velocity was still up at 94+, but the cutter wasn’t as good and there really isn’t anything else inside of Perez’s repertoire. Blegh. So close to a VPQS. So close. Nick, a VPQS is still poor ratios. I know, I know. It’s why it’s “Very Poor” after all. Streaming Record: 54-38
Drew Pomeranz – 4.0 IP, 4 ER, 6 Hits, 4 BBs, 3 Ks. Ahhhh, after a few starts we finally get to see the Pomeranz we all know and hate.
Masahiro Tanaka – 6.1 IP, 4 ER, 6 Hits, 2 BBs, 5 Ks. Blegh. After a stupid good start against the Rays, Tanaka went to London and broke our hearts, now he faced the Rays again and served us a Careful Icarus, getting kicked out of the game after a double and a walk, with both runners coming home in the seventh. This was actually a solid game through six – 1.00 WHIP, 3.00 ERA, and 5 Ks. He just had to fly too close to the sun. He just had to. You’ll be fine with Tanaka in the second half.
Justin Verlander – 7.0 IP, 4 ER, 7 Hits, 1 BBs, 6 Ks. Verlander, my dude, please stop with allowing homers. Maybe throw a few more sliders to help. Maybe incorporate a few more changeups, whatever it is, just stop. It’s killing us all.
Austin Voth – 4.1 IP, 4 ER, 5 Hits, 3 BBs, 6 Ks. After pumping 94 mph in his first start, Voth has now sat 92.5 mph in two straight. Womp womp. You don’t want any of this.
Antonio Senzatela – 4.1 IP, 7 ER, 7 Hits, 2 BBs, 1 Ks. None of you actually signed up for this, right? It’s a 5.32 ERA and 12.3% K rate. This isn’t something that says “mmmm, I’ll have one of those please.” Instead it makes us say HAISTFMFWT?!
For those unaware, I’m forced to make my Streamer picks under the condition of sub 20% owned in Fantasy Pros’ consolidated ownership rates.
Anthony DeSclafani vs. Cleveland Indians – He had a strong performance last time out and I think he can take on a middling Cleveland lineup.
Tyler Mahle vs. Cleveland Indians – I’m amazed I can still pick him, you should ride his strikeout rate against the Tribe as we head into the break.
Day After Tomorrow’s Streamer
None – It’s the ASB, y’all. Let’s watch some dingers and filthy pitches this week.
Game of the Day
(Photo by Juan DeLeon/Icon Sportswire)