This might be a little late, but I want to make it pretty clear that Johnny Cueto can be dropped in your league after going 6.0 IP, 6 ER, 6 Hits, 6 BBs, 2 Ks against the Marlins and missing his earlier start due to an ear infection. Sure, it’s possible this was a product of lingering effects and this wasn’t so bad until the seventh inning where he loaded the bases without an out, but it’s getting crazy here, with four of his last five containing at least three walks and five straight starts under 6 Ks. Cueto hasn’t had a single outing where he allowed 0 ER all season. He’s allowing 35.4% contact and I’d rather own Luis Castillo. Make the swap before you have to keep enduring Cueto and his mediocrity and have some fun in your life.
Let’s see how every other SP did yesterday:
Clayton Kershaw – 9.0 IP, 2 ER, 6 Hits, 0 BBs, 13 Ks. Aces gonna ace. Only Kershaw would fan 13 while throwing a CG under 100 pitches. And of course he earned the Gallows Pole with 22 whiffs…just six shy of the amount of balls he threw across the entire start (Thanks @ShafiqDe!). Crazy.
Yu Darvish – 7.1 IP, 2 ER, 3 Hits, 4 BBs, 6 Ks. Okay this is overall solid and all. Am I the only one that sees this make a sour face looking at four walks with under a K an inning? I know it’s not rational – this start is great – it’s just…I want more from an ace, you know?
Kyle Freeland – 8.1 IP, 0 ER, 1 Hits, 3 BBs, 9 Ks. Phew, if he had gotten that no-hitter then I would have to be fielding questions all week about why he’s not on The List. Wait, he won’t be on The List tomorrow? Probably not. Dude just isn’t very good and even with this start he holds a 5.45 K/9 with a 3.44 BB/9 while pitching in Coors and a 4.89 xFIP. Jeeeeeez that’s bad.
Jerad Eickhoff – 5.0 IP, 0 ER, 5 Hits, 1 BBs, 8 Ks. So…um…DLH is still real. I SWEAR. This is really really good from Eickhoff, but it was the Padres and only five frames and I can’t get on the bandwagon just yet.
Felix Hernandez – 6.0 IP, 0 ER, 2 Hits, 3 BBs, 8 Ks. Daaaaaang Felix, you’re looking mighty fine. Did you get a haircut or something? Nah, but I am wearing a fedora, is it that? No. Definitely not that. Whiffs? Nah, just 9…Velocity? Meh, 91.3mph…Ohhh who did you play? The Athletics. Ah yes, the team with the second highest K% in the majors. Blame it on the Athletics. Well alright, there’s a little more to this than that and he should be rostered n all but don’t put too much stock into this. Felix could easily walk five in his next outing without 4 Ks to boot and we’re back to the whole headache schtick again.
Lance Lynn – 7.0 IP, 0 ER, 3 Hits, 1 BBs, 2 Ks. Man this is so close to a Minimalist Score – which is a total dying art because pitchers are getting pulled so fast unless you’re a stud and have 10+ Ks – but saying Lynn almost had MS is not
Brad Peacock – 6.0 IP, 0 ER, 5 Hits, 5 BBs, 4 Ks. Another QS for Peacock – his third of the year (ahem…FAST…) – but I’d be lying if I didn’t say those walks are freaking me out. Please just have a 6 K 1 BB outing with 2 ER and make me really pumped. Do it for Frank. Who’s Frank? I’m sure there’s someone named Frank who owns Peacock out there. Do it for him.
David Price – 6.0 IP, 2 ER, 5 Hits, 2 BBs, 5 Ks. Solid outing from Price as our confidence rises. Don’t mess this up, we’ve been waiting for you to arrive like it’s Helm’s Deep.
J.C. Ramirez – 6.0 IP, 0 ER, 2 Hits, 5 BBs, 2 Ks. …yay? Five walks and only 2 Ks as he’s fanned more than five batters since the start of may – 6 and 7 K games. Man, I miss the 9, 7, 9 K streak he had in April. It’s not like you’re having a ton of success pitching to contact Ramirez, go back to the old days!
Homer Bailey – 6.2 IP, 1 ER, 7 Hits, 4 BBs, 5 Ks. That’s two straight 1 ER starts, but can we really be happy with this? CAN WE? Well yeah, I needed a Quality Start and a low ERA. Oh, okay fine. What does second half Bailey have in store for us though? There could be plenty of starts like this one – albeit the walk rate is high here – as I see a low ceiling but a better floor than most of your wire. It’s about your needs, y’all.
Corey Kluber – 5.0 IP, 1 ER, 3 Hits, 4 BBs, 8 Ks. Aces gonna ace. He was pulled after five because the walks drove up his pitch count north of 100. Pfffft, Kershaw pitch a complete game in that time.
Chad Kuhl – 3.0 IP, 1 ER, 2 Hits, 3 BBs, 4 Ks. My boy Taillon was scratched due to illness, so Kuhl had to step up on three days rest, leading to an early exit. Kuhl story, bro. Man, I should have just said that and left.
Patrick Corbin – 6.0 IP, 2 ER, 7 Hits, 2 BBs, 9 Ks. You know, Corbin has been racking up the Ks lately andthe one change I’ve seen in these two recent games are a heavy reliance on Changeups, sitting at 15% and 25% in these two games after averaging 9% in games prior…But come on I can’t be falling for Corbin again, right? RIGHT?
Michael Fulmer – 6.0 IP, 2 ER, 7 Hits, 0 BBs, 2 Ks. Careful, Icarus. Fulmer had six solid frames in the bag with 70 pitches, then came out for the 7th and was met with a single, HR, single, single, hook. So not cool.
J.A. Happ – 4.0 IP, 2 ER, 7 Hits, 3 BBs, 3 Ks. The Astros are good. Happ had a tough second inning with an error that led to two longballs for three unearned runs and helped cut his day short. Don’t let this one make you bitter towards him, you’ll enjoy his second half.
Chris Archer – 6.2 IP, 3 ER, 8 Hits, 2 BBs, 8 Ks. You came for the Ks and you can’t be upset when his WHIP/ERA aren’t great. That’s kinda the Archer M.O. and why he’s staying out of the Top 15.
Daniel Gossett – 4.1 IP, 3 ER, 5 Hits, 2 BBs, 4 Ks. I don’t think y’all were expecting a Gosse egg anyway, but if you had any high hopes still, get rid of them like bed bugs. No one wants any of that.
Jimmy Nelson – 5.0 IP, 3 ER, 7 Hits, 2 BBs, 6 Ks. Back-to-back hits from Chase Headley and a 2-run blast for Clint Fraizer were all the damage you see here. Love him, cherish him, hold him tight as Nelson isn’t going to decline in the second half.
Joe Ross – 3.1 IP, 3 ER, 3 Hits, 2 BBs, 3 Ks. Well this is bad. Also the fact he got pulled with tricep tightness. Well this is really bad. Drop him for Cahill/Clevinger/Castillo, etc.
Jose Urena – 5.0 IP, 3 ER, 5 Hits, 1 BBs, 3 Ks. If you start Jose, Urena boatload of trouble.
Trevor Cahill – 5.0 IP, 4 ER, 6 Hits, 0 BBs, 8 Ks. Hmmmm. A 1.20 WHIP with 8 Ks…but 4 ER? Do I really have to make this a tie? He got the Loss. FINE. Streamer Record 47-31-12.
Ubaldo Jimenez – 5.0 IP, 4 ER, 4 Hits, 4 BBs, 3 Ks. Yeeeeep, that’s Ubaldo alright.
Jon Lester – 0.2 IP, 4 ER, 6 Hits, 3 BBs, 0 Ks. This doesn’t look as bad as the 10 Runs, right? I’d buy low after this one, it was clearly just a bad day that he could find his way out of. Womp womp.
Sean Newcomb – 4.0 IP, 4 ER, 4 Hits, 4 BBs, 7 Ks. Newcomb was able to scavenge 7 Ks as he faced the Nats. It was a clear bench unless you streamed for Ks.
Danny Duffy – 7.0 IP, 5 ER, 6 Hits, 0 BBs, 9 Ks. The Duff man couldn’t avoid a trio of HRs that accounted for 4 ER as he actually pitched pretty dang well against the Dodgers.
Steven Matz – 4.1 IP, 5 ER, 7 Hits, 1 BBs, 1 Ks. Just one whiff from a non-Fastball in 31 thrown is really disheartening as Matz’s command just wasn’t there. I want to believe in Matz a ton for the second half, but I question if he’ll get into that groove we know he can get into. He’ll be in the mid 30s tomorrow.
Masahiro Tanaka – 4.1 IP, 5 ER, 6 Hits, 1 BBs, 5 Ks. Add another pair of HRs to the Tanaka nightmare that is 2017. He had three straight without a longball before today and it’s really the only fault in today. I think you still tough this one out.
Carlos Rodon – 5.1 IP, 6 ER, 5 Hits, 3 BBs, 4 Ks. And here’s the floor of Rodon in case you had forgotten. I mean, this was Coors and you had no reason to be throwing him here unless it fit your needs in a H2H league. He’ll be hovering in the 50s or 60s all year like the PEAS he is.
Kyle Gibson – 4.0 IP, 7 ER, 9 Hits, 2 BBs, 1 Ks. Cutaway Gibson. The best kind of Gibson.
ALL-STAR BREAK Y’ALL – Seriously, it’s kinda nuts that I get a few days off from these roundups. My life is going to feel so…empty. Ha ha NOT! There will be at least one special article from me this week + the First Half GIF Tournament + The List tomorrow of course. Oh and a Podcast or two. WE’LL GET THROUGH THIS.
ALL-STAR BREAK Y’ALL x 2
Day After Tomorrow’s Streamer
ALL-STAR BREAK Y’ALL x 3
Game of the Day
Home Run Derby because I guess Hitters exist – Judge is winning this. Duh.
I love when you release these on my morning commute.
And Archer had some terrible luck yesterday. I see him as top 10 ROS.
I do too. I really need to get back in the groove of finishing these the night before.
Archer has been struggling to give us consistent ERA/WHIP games over the last month+. I question if he can return to that form.
MadBum’s coming back after the break and I have to make room. Drop Lynn, Rodon or Walker in yahoo points league?
All close, I think Lynn is the weakest link. Him or Walker as Rodon has the most believable upside.
They will all be pretty close in today’s List update.
Thanks Nick! I figured Lynn was the weakest.
Your site has been required daily reading. It’s really helped me piece together a 1st place staff even with my supposed anchor (MadBum) getting injured early.
Looking forward to the Potential SP Innings Limit article too! (coming soon I hope, hint hint)
so im really equivocating as to wether i should drop sonny gray (or someone else) for luis castillo. you say you would rather have castillo than cueto yet cueto (and sonny gray) are higher on your list. is this just that the list hasnt been updated yet?
who would you drop from my roster if anyone for your newest crush castillo?
roster – http://i.imgur.com/uPN74ZC.png
The List updates on Mondays, I’m going through it now!
I’d probably drop one of your bench bats, honestly. There’s still hope for Sonny/Tanaka to be productive in the second half.
If it had to be a SP, I favor Tanaka slightly more than Sonny, who would get the cut for Castillo.
Where do you get your info on the number of swinging strikes a pitcher throws in a game?
I was trying to find that on fangraphs, but they just list the % in the game log.
While this isn’t what we’re using exactly, Baseball Savant’s Gamefeed will do the trick for you.
Thanks. I already use that for EV and pitch speed, so I’ll just use it for even more now. haha
What are you using exactly?
Or is it a secret family recipe? lol
I really want to love Castillo but there’s gotta be an innings limit in play, right? He maxed out at 131.2 IP in 2016 and is already at 103.1 IP this year between AA and the bigs. I’d imagine he’d be capped somewhere around 165 which means he’s only good for another 60-65 innings or so, or about 11 starts with a 6 IPS average.
I’m currently in good shape in my weekly H2H points league and have to assume he wouldn’t be able to help me come playoff time the last few weeks of September.
That’s a great point Alex. I’d imagine 180 innings – that’s usually the cut off for arms as they get introduced to the majors and have a decent amount of innings under their belt (130 is different than 100 or so).
Might be different for H2H instead of roto. Nevertheless, this would put him at a shutdown around mid-September, around 75 innings or so (12/13 starts?) and I wouldn’t make a big decision now with this in mind. Maybe he misses a start for whatever reason before September. Maybe you need the push to get to the playoffs in the first place. I’d rather figure that out later than let the production go to waste now.
Noticed you skipped Brent Suter. Any thoughts on him?
He pitched the day before: http://pitcherlist.com/on-the-road-again/
Ah sorry Nick. My days are all thrown off.
All good :D
You seem real giddy on Castillo! Any chance he starts drawing comps to JFer, Berrios?
Everything is there…except for the elite breaking ball. It’s a good Slider, just not the unreal one JoFer/Berrios feature(d).
Who would you rather have ROS: Cahill, Faria, or Castillo?
Working on The List now, I’ll have a concrete answer for you shortly. They are all super close right now.
Thanks Nick! Looking forward to reading The List tonight.
Yo Nick!! Are you extending Newcomb’s leash? I know we all knew that these past two starts were going to be rough, but now I’m looking at Homer Bale and Mike Montgomery out on the wire, and wondering…thanks man!
Monty is the only one getting decent matchups out of the gate, making him the guy I’d go for.