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Patrick Corbin will continue to roll tonight against the anemic Rockies.
9 Games- 7:05 PM ET
Must Play SP: Patrick Corbin, ARI ($20,500) vs. COL
The Rockies are a completely different team away from Coors Field. Their home OPS: .832. One the road: .666 (spooky). Patrick Corbin has also been on a tear through the second half of the year, posting the second best FIP, SIERA, and K-BB% and the best O-Swing% and SwStr%. I really like the matchup Hill has against the Padres too, but the likelihood he goes deep into the game is much less than Corbin’s. Also, if bad Rich Hill rears his smoking head, it won’t be a fun DFS night. One last note that makes Corbin a lock: Colorado has an OPS of .456 over the last seven days.
Honorable Mention: Rich Hill ($18,400)
Value SP: Lucas Giolito, CWS ($9,300) vs. CHC
I’m gonna be honest, it doesn’t ever feel right to recommend Giolito, but the Cubs have just not been playing well. They have the third worst OPS and fifth highest K% over the last seven days, and while Giolito has had two bad starts in his last three, he’s had five good starts in his last seven. The value pitchers always have the highest volatility, but I’m willing to take a chance here since the cost is so low.
Honorable Mention: Antonio Senzatela ($11,700)
IF: Jose Ramirez, CLE ($10,400) vs. BOS (Rick Porcello)
I’m not really sure why FantasyDraft is fading Rick Porcello when neither Ramirez nor Francisco Lindor have produced at an outstanding level of late. Ramirez has actually been the worse of the two, but when he bats lefty his wRC+ is nearly 50 higher than when he bats righty. Lindor is the opposite, which is why I decided to lean Ramirez over Lindor. I can’t fault anyone for choosing Lindor though, as he has six more home runs in September than Ramirez has.
Honorable Mentions: Francisco Lindor ($10,000), Daniel Murphy ($7,600)
OF: Yasiel Puig, LAD ($10,500) vs. SD (Jacob Nix)
Has there been a hotter hitter over the last seven days than Puig? Unless you’re looking strictly at OBP or AVG, the answer is no. Puig has hit six homers in his last 23 plate appearances, but I can understand being skeptical as five of his six came in last weekend’s series against the Cardinals; since then he’s hit .333 with three singles and a homer. I’m comfortable playing Puig with Nix on the mound, but I’m also never opposed to rolling out Christian Yelich as one of my expensive bats.
Honorable Mention: Christian Yelich ($10,400)
Value Hitter: Franmil Reyes, SD ($6,600) @ LAD (Rich Hill)
Pitcherlist’s own Adam Garland wrote a great piece about changes Reyes made over the second half of the season, and the results have been there this September: .373 AVG with six walks to thirteen strikeouts, but hits have been mostly singles. Reyes has had the most success against lefties this year, and while the sample size is limited (77 PA), a 197 wRC+ is phenomenal any way you slice it.
Honorable Mention: Welington Castillo ($6,600)
Stack: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres (Jacob Nix)
I mentioned that I’m comfortable starting Puig against Nix, and that extends to the rest of the Dodgers as well. He’s given up fourteen earned runs over his last three starts, and the Dodgers are coming into tonight’s game with the third highest team OPS through the last week of games.
Honorable Mention: Cleveland Indians vs. Boston Red Sox