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We’ve got two slates tonight on FantasyDraft – the main slate starts at 7:05pm eastern and covers 12 games, while the late slate starts at 10:07pm and covers three games.
Must Play SP: Mike Foltynewicz, ATL ($21,100) at SF
Foltynewicz is going beast mode, as he has 34 strikeouts in his last 33 innings with a 1.91 ERA. He’s got an outstanding 27.8% K-rate on the season with a 3.17 Deserved Run Average. Foltynewicz has a great matchup against the Giants, who are one of the worst teams in baseball versus righties with their .296 wOBA. They also play in a very pitcher-friendly park.
Honorable Mention: Jacob deGrom, NYM ($26,400) vs MIA
Value SP: Marco Gonzales, SEA ($11,300) vs SD
Gonzales certainly had some struggles before he hit the DL, but I wouldn’t be concerned as he faces the Padres. They’ve got just a .303 wOBA against left-handed pitching, as well as the third-highest K-rate at 24.3%. Gonzales got his ERA lit up with a few bad outings, but he’s still got a nice 3.53 FIP and is able to limit baserunners with his minisule 4.6% walk-rate. At this price, you can get a ton of value.
Honorable Mention: Shane Bieber, CLE ($16,400) at TB
IF Jose Abreu, CWS ($8,200) at KC (RHP Brad Keller)
Abreu returned from the DL yesterday and went 3-for-4 out of the White Sox three-hole. He’s having another strong year at the plate with a 122 wRC+, and he should be able to rack up both runs and RBIs as a three-hitter. Brad Keller might have a strong ERA, but his poor 16.2% K-rate and 4.60 SIERA suggest that he’s been outperforming.
Honorable Mention: IF Gary Sanchez, NYY ($8,200) at MIN (Duffey)
OF Andrew McCutchen, NYY ($8,400) at MIN (RHP Tyler Duffey)
I’m going back to McCutchen tonight – he’s got the same advantageous contextual factors with an even better matchup. As the Yankees leadoff hitter, he will maximize his plate appearances and chances to score runs in an elite lineup. Tyler Duffey has a 9.00 ERA (not a typo) in 14 appearances this season, so the Yankees and Cutch should tee off on him.
Honorable Mention: OF Ryan Braun, MIL ($8,000) at CHC (Quintana)
Value: IF/OF Steve Pearce, BOS ($7,700) vs TOR (LHP Ryan Borucki)
Pearce is always worth playing when he’s facing a lefty, as he straight up demolishes them. He’s got a 173 wRC+ against southpaws this year and is playing in an extremely hitter-friendly park in Boston. Pearce should see plenty of RBI opportunities batting fifth in the Red Sox order and he is very inexpensive.
Honorable Mention: IF/OF Chris Davis, BAL ($6,700) vs OAK (Fiers)
Top Stack: Mariners vs Padres (RHP Bryan Mitchell)
Bryan Mitchell has an atrocious 6.58 ERA with an even worse 6.67 FIP in 53 1/3 innings this year. Nelson Cruz ($8,300) and Jean Segura ($8,000) are at very good prices, while Mitch Haniger ($9,100) and Robinson Cano ($9,100) are your more expensive plays. Pretty much anybody in the Mariners lineup can produce for you against Mitchell.
Honorable Mention: Yankees at Twins (Duffey)