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DFS Primer – June 11

Gus Elmashni breaks down the DFS slate for Saturday.

Welcome to the Saturday edition of the DFS Primer! We will have to get right down to business since yours truly is hosting a family reunion today with nearly 40 people in my backyard! I sure stay busy on these weekends!

As I have done in my previous DFS articles, I will share a table displaying rankings of the pitchers on today’s main slate using six metrics. Here are those metrics.

1) Barrel rate allowed.

2) Percent hard-hit contact allowed.

3) Expected wOBA allowed.

4) Expected ERA.

5) Flyball to groundball ratio.

6) Strike out to bases on ball ratio.

Using such analysis will help you identify the best value for pitchers and determine which stacks to build. Here is the table analyzing all of the starting pitchers for the main slate today.

 

As you can see, Clayton Kershaw is at the top of the list but it is his first start in quite some time. For today, it makes sense to pay up for pitching given that the aces on the mound today can dominate. You really can’t go wrong with Kevin Gausman, Zach Wheeler, or Framber Valdez. I would probably lean more towards Valdez since I also like the offenses supporting Gausman and Wheeler.

Nothing wrong with a roster build using the pitcher and stack from the same team but if you are playing on FanDuel, you will need to find a one-off and another stack from two other teams. However, no issues with such a build on DraftKings. I wonder when FanDuel will change!

If we roll with Valdez, then start building your stacks with Toronto and Philadelphia. Both offenses are red hot and they face the bottom five pitchers according to the table above. You will have to find some value pieces but make sure the core of each stack is on your team. Here’s looking at you Vladimir Guerrero and Bryce Harper! Do us right today!

Here are some sample lineups for the games that start at 1:05 PM PT.

DraftKings
P: F. Valdez
P: C. Morton
C: A. Kirk
1B: V. Guerrero
2B: C. Biggio
3B: A. Bohm
SS: B. Stott
OF: B. Harper
OF: N. Castellanos
OF: L. Gurriel

FanDuel

P: F. Valdez
C/1B: V. Guerrero
2B: S. Espinal
3B: A. Bohm
SS: B. Stott
OF: B. Harper
OF: N. Castellanos
OF: T. Hernandez
UTIL: A. Kirk

 

Good luck today and stay cool this weekend!

 

Design by J.R. Caines (@JRCainesDesign on Twitter and @caines_design on Instagram)

Gus Elmashni

Gus Elmashni is a San Francisco Bay Area native and an avid fan of the NBA, NFL, and MLB. He has played fantasy sports since 1993 when a few high school friends and he would tabulate daily NBA results from the San Jose Mercury News and draft new teams every month. Gus has been with Pitcher List since April 2022 writing DFS articles and the Best Bets column. Additionally, Gus works full-time as an educator in Northern California and resides in Sacramento with his wife and two young children.

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