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Dylan Bundy Total Ks: O/U 5.5
The Dylan Bundy for 2020 Cy Young train keeps rolling down the tracks as he faces the lowly San Francisco Giants in a rare Tuesday day game. Averaging 8.75 Ks per start, including 10 in each of his last two, Bundy has faced Oakland and Seattle twice each and will surely be happy to face a new team, especially one as offensively inept as the Giants. For a little icing on the cake, Bundy’s career K/9 jumps up a full strikeout in day games as opposed to night games (8.6 to 9.6). 5.5 is easily way too low and should be easy money.
Pick: Over 5.5 (-125 DK)
Indians vs Pirates Total Runs: O/U 9
This recommendation is another vote of confidence in J.T. Brubaker more than anything. The hard-throwing RHP with a wipe-out slider was the victim of a couple of unlucky dinky singles by the Twins before Miguel Sano ripped a 3-run HR that barely stayed fair maybe one foot over the wall. I am confident that Brubaker and his filth will be able to limit an Indians team that has struggled this year. Need proof:
JT Brubaker, Filthy Slider and Curveball. 😷 pic.twitter.com/eITiwYfR9m
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) August 2, 2020
Carlos Carrasco will be looking to rebound from a tough last start in which he was squeezed like a tube of toothpaste by the ump. Facing the Pirates will cure almost any pitching maladies, especially for someone who has pitched as well this year as Carrasco. Look for an intriguing pitching duel tonight in Pittsburgh.
Pick: Under 9 (-120 DK)
Nationals vs Braves Total Runs: O/U 10
Before reading the rest of this post, go check out Zach Hayes’ piece on Josh Tomlin from Sunday. A former punching bag for opposing offenses, Tomlin has made some adjustments and is striking out hitters at far and away a career-high rate. If he is able to stretch out to four or five innings and his stuff continues to play, that Nationals will have a hard time putting runs on the board. The Braves have been struggling to score without Ronald Acuna and Ozzie Albies in the lineup and Austin Voth has proven to be surprisingly effective for Washington. FTN Bets’ Odds has the total at 10, which is the second highest total on the board, and I just don’t see both teams stringing together enough baserunners to get there.
Pick: Under 10 (-124 DK)
Mets Total Runs: O/U 5.5
The Mets have numerous hitters like Dominic Smith, Luis Guillorme and Pete Alonso scattered across the FTN Bets Hot Hitter Report. That doesn’t even include Robinson Cano who has been en fuego in four games since returning from injury, including three homers. On Tuesday, they are facing 23-year old Humberto Mejia who struck out six Mets hitters in 2.1 IP in his MLB debut last week. Expect the veteran Mets lineup to figure out Mejia and continue their hot streak at the plate.
Pick: Over 5.5 (-105 DK)
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Featured image by Justin Paradis (@freshmeatcomm on Twitter)