Best Bets Across the League 7/27

Kyle Stanzel highlights Monday's best bets around baseball.

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Griffin Canning Strikeouts O/U 5.5 (+120 FD/+100 DK)

 

A Monday matinee features Griffin Canning and the Angels taking on the Oakland A’s. Canning’s rookie campaign last season went relatively under the radar, and he finished strong down the stretch (five consecutive starts with 3 ER or fewer). The 24-year old is coming off a very strong six scoreless innings in an exhibition game one week ago against San Diego, where he struck out five. While the Athletics have a modest 22.2 K% so far in the early season, Canning had success against Oakland in three starts last season, all within one month. Canning lasted six innings in all three starts, striking out 5, 8, and 6, respectively. With some seasoning under his belt and a healthy right arm, if Canning can get to six innings, he should be able to hit the over on this strikeout bet. According to FTN Bets Bullpen Usage Tool, the Angels’ bullpen is in the top third of the league in usage and will probably be looking to get as much out of Canning as they can.

Pick: Over 5.5 (+120 FD/+100 DK)

 

Braves/Rays Lead After 3 Innings (+112 DK)

 

The Atlanta Falcons put up two touchdowns on their way to a dominating win on national television on Sunday night. Wait, I’m being told that was actually the Braves. Regardless, it was an impressive effort against the Mets in New York, but also one that caused the game to run almost 3.5 hours. With a 6:40 p.m. game on Monday in Tampa Bay, the Braves were presumably catching the red-eye down to Florida and probably didn’t make it in to their hotel rooms until the wee hours of the morning. Pandemic protocols can’t make travelling as a team any easier, and I have to believe that the Braves are going to be a little sluggish to start Monday’s game.

If jet lag is bad, then having to step into the batter box against Tyler Glasnow‘s wicked stuff with jet lag is just about the worst thing imaginable for a hitter. Does anybody remember what Mike Foltynewicz did the last time he stepped on the mound in a meaningful game? Sorry for opening old wounds Braves fans, as Folty was disastrous in Game 5 of the NLDS against St. Louis last fall, when he allowed 7 runs while getting just one out. Look for the Rays to jump out to an early advantage in this one.

Pick: Rays (+112 DK)

 

Eugenio Suarez to Hit a Home Run (+260 FD/+280 DK)

 

It has been a rough start to the 2020 season for Eugenio Suarez, with zero hits in 11 ABs. But let’s not quickly forget that Suarez cranked an incredible 49 HRs in 2019 and hasn’t slugged lower than .526 since 2017. It is only a matter of time until he clicks back in and starts mashing the ball. Perhaps a familiar face on the mound will be what Suarez needs. The 29-year old has hit .381/.426/.881 in 42 ABs against Jon Lester, including 6 HRs. Today is the day Suarez busts out of this slump and leaves the yard.

Pick: Eugenio Suarez to Hit a Home Run (+260 FD/+280 DK)

 

Mariners/Astros to Score 1st and Win (+112 DK)

 

Coming off a tough first loss of the season, the Astros are looking to get back in the win column in the last of a four-game series against Seattle. Houston is trotting out tantalizing 27-year old starter-turned-reliever-turned-starter Josh James to face a Seattle lineup that struggled to score runs prior to Sunday’s 7-run outburst. There is no denying that James has electric stuff, as evidenced by his impressive 37.6 K% last year in 61.1 IP as a reliever. While James isn’t expected to go too deep into the ballgame, he should be effective the first time through the Seattle hitters.

For the Mariners, Kendall Graveman will see the mound for the first time since 2018, when he pitched to a whopping 7.60 ERA and an astounding 27.3% HR/FB. A sinker-ball pitcher who has struggled to miss bats and keep the ball down, Graveman is exactly the type of pitcher the Astros vaunted first three hitters of Altuve, Bregman and Springer can jump on immediately. Expect Houston to come out swinging and lead from start to finish in this game.

Pick: Astros to Score 1st and Win (+112 DK)

 

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Featured image by Justin Paradis (@freshmeatcomm on Twitter)

Kyle Stanzel

New Jersey-born and North Carolina-bound, Kyle is as die-hard a Pittsburgh Pirates fan as there is, attending the last ever game at Three Rivers Stadium and the first ever game at PNC Park. Follow him on Twitter @style_kanzel

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