Analyzing Every Two-Start Pitcher For Week 5 (5/1 – 5/7)

Every Friday I look at every projected two-start pitcher for the week ahead and detail my thoughts about rolling with them on your roster. There are four tiers: Definitely, Probably, Questionable, Bench. Definitely Start features starters that are no doubters for the week ahead followed by Probably Start with pitchers that look like good plays but may create a hesitation or two. Players labeled as Questionable are for deeper leagues or have one-of-two outings that should be skipped. Pitchers under Bench should be avoided despite their two starts in the week ahead.

Definitely Start

Chris Sale (BAL, @MIN)

Clayton Kershaw (SFG, SDP)

Danny Duffy (CHW, CLE)

Dylan Bundy (@BOS, CHW)

Gerrit Cole (@CIN, MIL)

Johnny Cueto (@CIN, @LAD)

Jon Lester (PHI, NYY)

Jose Quintana (@BAL, @KCR)

Julio Teheran (NYM, STL)

James Paxton (LAA, TEX)

Corey Kluber (@DET, @KCR)

Justin Verlander (CLE, @OAK)

Lance McCullers (TEX, @LAA)

Noah Syndergaard (@ATL, MIA)

Probably Start

Cole Hamels (@HOU, @SEA) – Am I a fan of Hamels? Not really. Am I scared enough to not throw him out for both of these starts? Nope.

Carlos Martinez (@ATL, MIL) – I was tempted to throw him in the top tier, but it’s hard to turn a blind eye to his inconsistencies lately. A clear two-starter but not as clean-cut.

Luis Severino (@CHC, TOR) – Severino is on fire and I don’t care if he’s facing the Cubs, you start him.

Marco Estrada (@NYY, @TBR) – Estrada is locked in and I’m not too afraid of the hot/cold Yankee offense to turn down two starts.

Rick Porcello (BAL, @MIN) – Porcello took a step forward last time out and the Orioles offense has yet to click.

Matt Shoemaker (HOU, @SEA) – Easily the grayest choice in the tier, but I think I trust Shoemaker enough to go after his upside and risk the floor.

Questionable

Zach Davies (@STL, @PIT) – Davies rebounded last time out and gets a pair of good matchups. Still, the early season woes have to be considered.

Tanner Roark (ARI, @PHI) – He’s not looking all too great but I can’t say no to Roark against the Phils.

Brett Anderson (PHI, NYY) – This could be a pair of cheap Wins – at least against the Phillies – though be wary of the ERA/WHIP hit you might take.

Trevor Bauer (@DET, @KCR) – Bauer struck out a ton last time out and the JD MArtinez/Miguel Cabrera might not be fully back in their groove after DL stints.

Alex Cobb (@MIA, TOR) – Cobb isn’t my favorite arm these days but the Jays and Marlins may not put up enough of a fight to prevent two beneficial outings.

Jake Odorizzi (@MIA, TOR) – Odorizzi is returning from the DL and I’m a bit cautious throwing him out there the first time. However, an evening with the Jays is right up my alley.

Robert Gsellman (@ATL, MIA) – I know it’s been rough thus far, but his still holding an xFIP below 3.50 and his stuff is much better than the results detail.

Wade Miley (@BOS, CHW) – Shocking to be putting Miley here when a Red Sox start is included, but it’s hard to look over his recent performances as he’s a big risk but decent upside play if you’re desperate.

Edinson Volquez (TBR, @NYM) – 3/5 starts thus far have been 2 ER or fewer and there’s a chance he pulls it off at least once against mediocre offenses.

Adam Wainwright (@ATL, MIL) – Waino has not been sharp but if you need a two-start option you could do worse chasing his upside + a date with the Braves

Bench

Daniel Norris (CLE, @OAK) – Norris simply isn’t in the place I want him to be and I can’t be endorsing him until he figures it out.

Sean Manaea (DET, @MIN) – It’s not clear if he’s getting these starts yet and I don’t really like trusting him after showing diminished velocity last time out.

Tyler Chatwood (ARI, @SDP) – That start in San Diego could be beneficial, though Chatwood in Coors against the Diamondbacks is a terrible thing.

Andrew Cashner (@HOU, @SEA) – There’s a reason he’s on your waiver wire.

Hector Santiago (BOS, OAK) – It’s feasible that Santiago could escape the week unscathed, though it’s not enough of a chance to risk his low floor.

Dylan Covey (@BAL, @KCR) – Covey has looked far from decent thus far and he’s not a good option regardless of matchups.

Jeremy Hellickson (@CHC, WSH) – I’m well aware of Hellickson’s hot start to 2017, I worry that his major dependency on the BABIP Gods will burn his against two of the best offenses you’ll find.

Mike Fiers (TEX, @LAA) – Fiers hasn’t been a decent arm for a long time.

Nathan Karns (CHW, CLE) – I’m not going anywhere near Karns these days.

R.A. Dickey (NYM, STL) – Don’t Trust A Knuckleballer.

Rookie Davis (PIT, SFG) – Davis has looked like a Cup of Schmo from the get-go and there’s little reason to think that will change this week.

Scott Feldman (PIT, SFG) – Not the worst option here in the bottom tier, just one where you don’t know what you’re going to get and the upside is limited.

Trevor Cahill (COL, LAD) – Despite the uptick of strikeouts, Cahill’s poor matchups made this an easy call.

Tyler Glasnow (@CIN, MIL) – Until those walks take a dramatic tumble, Glasnow will not be on my roster.

Vince Velasquez (@CHC, WSH) – With the way Velasquez is currently going, I’m not thrusting him out there against two premier offenses.

Wei-Yin Chen (TBR, @NYM) – A pair of poor teams doesn’t fix Chen’s lack of Fastball command.

Wily Peralta (@STL, @PIT) – Peralta is back to his old ways and I’m not banking on a rebound.

Nick Pollack

Founder of PitcherList.com. Rotographs and Washington Post contributor and has worked with CBS Sports, Grantland, and SB Nation. Former pitching coach and Brandeis alum.

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Comments


Chucky

Ratings aside, hows your gut on 2 start Davies? it hasnt been pretty but at some point it has to get better, no?
With Manea more than likely DL bound, whats your expectations fr Sonny?

Nick Pollack

My gut says roll with Davies.

My expectations from Sonny is that he’ll need a little time to get warmed up but he could be a solid #5 through the year.

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