Analyzing Every Two-Start Pitcher For Week 12 (6/20 – 6/26)

Every Friday I look at every projected two-start pitcher for the week ahead and detail my thoughts about rolling with them on your roster.  There are four tiers: Definitely, Probably, Questionable, Bench.  The...

Every Friday I look at every projected two-start pitcher for the week ahead and detail my thoughts about rolling with them on your roster.  There are four tiers: Definitely, Probably, Questionable, Bench.  The first tier features starters that are no doubters for the week ahead followed by a tier of pitchers that look like good plays but may create a hesitation or two. Players inside Questionable Starts are for deeper leagues or have one-of-two outings that should be avoid. Pitchers labeled Bench should be avoided despite their dual week ahead.

Definitely Start

Madison Bumgarner (@PIT, PHI)

Johnny Cueto (@PIT, PHI)

Justin Verlander (SEA, CLE)

John Lackey (STL, @MIA)

Clayton Kershaw (WSH, @PIT)

Aaron Nola (@MIN, @SFG)

Stephen Strasburg (@LAD, @MIL)

Jose Fernandez (ATL, CHC)

Noah Syndergaard (KCR, @ATL)

Sonny Gray (MIL, @LAA)

Chris Sale (@BOS, TOR)

Probably Start

Jason Hammel (STL, @MIA) – It’s hard to like an outing against the Cards, but Hammel has had a great 2016 and you should continue sticking him into your lineup.

Steven Wright (CWS, @TEX) – Wright has been excellent and a date with the Rangers isn’t enough to consider benching him.

Kevin Gausman (@TEX, TBR) – Gaus hasn’t been as sharp as his first couple starts, though these matchups shouldn’t sway you from running with him this week.

Questionable

Anthony DeSclafani (@TEX, SDP) – Tony Disco has been a bit rough to start off and a matchup with the Rangers isn’t ideal. On the flip side, he also gets a fantastic outing against the Padres to make this a possible option.

Josh Tomlin (TBR, @DET) – Tomlin was almost elevated into the higher tier, though he doesn’t have the overwhelming upside to ignore a start versus the mighty Tigers.

Doug Fister (LAA, @KCR) – Fister holds the lowest ERA on the Astros, making a date with the Halos a solid stream. The Royals, while not ideal, aren’t enough of a deterrent. His upside isn’t high enough to pull him to the second tier, but he’s one of the better discount choices out there.

Archie Bradley (@PHI, @TOR) – It’s a tough call for Bradley given that matchup in Toronto. His strikeout upside against Philly is enough to pull him into the 3rd tier.

Tyler Duffey (PHI, @NYY) – It has been a disappointing month for Tyler, but it’s possible Duffey can bring his K upside against a pair of weak opponents.

James Paxton (@DET, STL) – I love Paxton and it’s unfortunate he has to face two excellent offenses next week.

Drew Smyly (@CLE, @BAL) – Smyly was excellent this week and his strikeout ability could carry over to his next start against Cleveland. Proceed with caution against the O’s, though.

Patrick Corbin (@PHI, @TOR) – I nearly placed Corbin in the lower tier here. Ultimately, I like his start against the Phils and it’s plausible he doesn’t get crushed by the Jays.

Bench

Miguel Gonzalez (@BOS, TOR) – These are two incredibly tough matchups for an incredibly mediocre pitcher.

Eduardo Rodriguez (CWS, @TEX) – There’s simply too much risk with Erod these days as he’s far away from becoming the dominant pitcher he flashed in 2015.

Nate Karns (@DET, STL) – Karns would normally be at least in the third tier, but you want to stay away from these matchups.

Jaime Garcia (@CHC, @SEA) – Garcia has been slumping as of late and a pair of Top 5 offenses are not the answer.

Jorge De La Rosa (@MIA, ARI) – De La Rosa’s ERA is well north of 7.00, making this a huge risk for little reward.

Chad Bettis (@MIA, ARI) – Bettis simply isn’t a fantasy relevant pitcher.

Mike Pelfrey (SEA, CLE) – Neither is Pelfrey.

Bud Norris (@MIA, NYM) – While he showed his classic strikeout upside last time out, you can’t depend on Norris even against a pair of NL Easy teams.

Hector Santiago (@HOU, OAK) – I can understand people going with Santiago due to Oakland and Houston isn’t so imposing. However, Hector hasn’t performed well for a while and he’s trending in the wrong direction.

Jhoulys Chacin (@HOU, OAK) – Jhoulys has the same matchups as Santiago, and I can understand an argument to lift him to the next tier, but I’m hesitant to take the risk.

Justin Nicolino (COL, CHC) – Nicolino isn’t a solid option against mediocre teams, which gets amplified when facing the Cubs.

Jeremy Hellickson (ARI, @SFG) – Hellickson is known for his inconsistency, and these starts don’t look to bring the best out of him.

Jeff Locke (SFG, LAD) – Locke is fighting for dear life to stay inside the rotation with Tyler Glasnow on the horizon, and I don’t see this week helping his cause

Juan Nicasio (SFG, LAD) – Nicasio’s flame has dwindled since the spark in late March.

Luis Perdomo (@BAL, @CIN) – Perdomo is taking Andrew Cashner’s spot in the rotation and simply doesn’t have enough to offer owners.

Derek Holland (BAL, BOS) – The Dutch Invasion is returning as Holland gets two nightmarish offenses ahead.

Nick Pollack

Founder of Pitcher List. Creator of CSW, The List, and SP Roundup. Worked with MSG, FanGraphs, CBS Sports, and Washington Post. Former college pitcher, travel coach, pitching coach, and Brandeis alum. Wants every pitcher to be dope.

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