The List Update: Ranking The Top 100 Starting Pitchers Every Monday

Rank Change Pitcher Previous Best Worst
1 - Clayton Kershaw 1 1 1
2 - Max Scherzer 2 2 2
3 - Chris Sale 3 3 3
4 - Corey Kluber 4 4 4
5 +1 Luis Severino 6 5 6
6 -1 Noah Syndergaard 5 5 6
7 +1 Stephen Strasburg 8 7 8
8 +1 Jacob deGrom 9 8 9
9 +1 Zack Greinke 10 9 10
10 +1 Carlos Carrasco 11 10 11
11 +1 Justin Verlander 12 11 12
12 +1 Yu Darvish 13 12 13
13 +1 Aaron Nola 14 13 14
14 +1 Carlos Martinez 15 14 15
15 +1 David Price 16 15 16
16 +3 Robbie Ray 19 16 19
17 +1 James Paxton 18 17 18
18 +2 Luis Castillo 20 18 20
19 -2 Chris Archer 17 17 19
20 +1 Zack Godley 21 20 21
21 +1 Dallas Keuchel 22 21 22
22 +2 Jose Quintana 24 22 24
23 - Jake Arrieta 23 23 23
24 +1 Michael Fulmer 25 24 25
25 +2 Masahiro Tanaka 27 25 27
26 +2 Chase Anderson 28 26 28
27 +4 Gerrit Cole 31 27 31
28 +7 Trevor Bauer 35 28 35
29 - Shohei Ohtani 29 29 29
30 +2 Sonny Gray 32 30 32
31 -5 Jose Berrios 26 26 31
32 +1 Luke Weaver 33 32 33
33 +3 Garrett Richards 36 33 36
34 +3 Lance McCullers 37 34 37
35 +3 Alex Wood 38 35 38
36 +3 Rich Hill 39 36 39
37 +11 Jordan Montgomery 48 37 48
38 +9 Mike Clevinger 47 38 47
39 -5 Jon Lester 34 34 39
40 - Jameson Taillon 40 40 40
41 +2 Kyle Hendricks 43 41 43
42 -1 Marcus Stroman 41 41 42
43 +1 Johnny Cueto 44 43 44
44 -37 Madison Bumgarner 7 7 44
45 -3 Danny Duffy 42 42 45
46 -1 Jon Gray 45 45 46
47 +11 Lucas Giolito 58 47 58
48 -2 Jacob Faria 46 46 48
49 +3 Charlie Morton 52 49 52
50 -1 Dylan Bundy 49 49 50
51 +4 Patrick Corbin 55 51 55
52 +1 Sean Manaea 53 52 53
53 -3 Kenta Maeda 50 50 53
54 - Gio Gonzalez 54 54 54
55 +1 Blake Snell 56 55 56
56 +1 Kevin Gausman 57 56 57
57 +4 Aaron Sanchez 61 57 61
58 -28 Jeff Samardzija 30 30 58
59 +5 Michael Wacha 64 59 64
60 +3 Miles Mikolas 63 60 63
61 +UR Jack Flaherty UR 61 61
62 -2 Drew Pomeranz 60 60 62
63 -12 Danny Salazar 51 51 63
64 +3 Taijuan Walker 67 64 67
65 +3 Reynaldo Lopez 68 65 68
66 +3 Joe Musgrove 69 66 69
67 +12 Chris Stratton 79 67 79
68 +24 Mike Minor 92 68 92
69 +26 Jake Junis 95 69 95
70 -8 Lance Lynn 62 62 70
71 -6 J. A. Happ 65 65 71
72 +1 Eduardo Rodriguez 73 72 73
73 +1 Jimmy Nelson 74 73 74
74 +1 Carlos Rodon 75 74 75
75 +1 Alex Reyes 76 75 76
76 +5 German Marquez 81 76 81
77 +5 Alex Cobb 82 77 82
78 +5 Julio Teheran 83 78 83
79 +5 Jake Odorizzi 84 79 84
80 +5 Marco Estrada 85 80 85
81 +5 Kyle Gibson 86 81 86
82 +UR Marco Gonzales UR 82 82
83 +UR Nate Karns UR 83 83
84 +UR Nathan Eovaldi UR 84 84
85 +14 Andrew Triggs 99 85 99
86 +10 Sean Newcomb 96 86 96
87 - Mike Leake 87 87 87
88 +1 Zach Davies 89 88 89
89 +2 Tanner Roark 91 89 91
90 +UR Felix Hernandez UR 90 90
91 +UR Cole Hamels UR 91 91
92 +UR Mike Foltynewicz UR 92 92
93 +UR Trevor Williams UR 93 93
94 +UR Chad Kuhl UR 94 94
95 +5 Parker Bridwell 100 95 100
96 +1 Matt Shoemaker 97 96 97
97 -4 Brad Peacock 93 93 97
98 -4 Collin McHugh 94 94 98
99 +UR Matt Harvey UR 99 99
100 -41 Dinelson Lamet 59 59 100

Every Monday during the season, I will be releasing “The List” where I rank the current value of the Top 100 pitchers in fantasy baseball for the rest of the season. Use these rankings to help understand what to expect from pitchers for 2018 and as a tool to gauge trade value in your fantasy leagues.

The baseball season hasn’t begun yet, but plenty has changed since I released my rankings in early February.

Let’s talk about how the SP landscape has changed:

  • I went plenty of the major changes in last week’s mini-update, including the fall of Jose Berriosswapping of Luis Severino and Noah Syndergaard and why I’m not a fan of Chris Archer
  • …but I changed slightly on a few guys since then. I found myself reaching a little farther than #50 on Lucas Giolito where I wanted to chase him right above Jake FariaThere are times where it feels like a pitcher is ready to breakout and with Giolito and Faria trending differently during the spring (I know, it’s the spring!), I feel it’s better to get Giolito one round earlier than Faria, where you can still get both on your roster.
  • The worst part about making this list is figuring out what to do with injured players. Instead of demoting them to a default end ranking, I elect to wade through the troubling waters of their trade value, and I’ve slotted Madison Bumgarner right after his teammate Johnny Cueto but before the upside targets of Giolito and Faria.
  • The same goes for Jeff Samardzijawho will also be missing a good chunk of time to start the year. His ceiling is lower than Bumgarner’s though, making him fall to #58.
  • Jack Flaherty shoots up the ranks as he has a firm job in St. Louis with Adam Wainwright’s injury. Not the same instant upside as players like Sean Manaea and Patrick Corbin due to a questionable heater, but he deserves your love in a 12-teamer, moreso than my other late fliers like Joe Musgrove and Reynaldo Lopez.
  • Don’t sleep on Chris Stratton, Mike Minorand Jake Junis as well, who have rotation spots and hints that their stuff could dictate very serviceable 12-teamer arms. Worst case, you can always get an “innings eater” type like Zach Davies, Tanner Roarkor Marco Estrada if it doesn’t work out.
  • Marco Gonzales and Nate Karns join The List as they have had impressive springs to earn their rotation spots. I’m still skeptical that it will carry over in the regular season – Karns underwent TOS and while I loved him before his injury last season, that’s a tough hill to climb, while Gonzales’ consistency is heavily in question – but they deserve your attention now.
  • Other pitchers joining The List this week include Felix Hernandez, Cole Hamels, Mike Foltynewicz, Trevor Williams, Chad Kuhland Matt HarveyI’m in the camp that Felix and Hamels will continue to trend down, but there’s still hope as veterans that they can figure it out. Foltynewicz is a PEAS and I have little hope that he’ll suddenly turn the corner, Williams was productive at the end of last season but lacks the stuff to make a major jump in the rankings, Kuhl is the opposite – a hard heater and great slider – but nothing else and it pulls him down. I have no faith that Harvey will pull off a stable season ahead, but at this point you could do worse than hoping for lightning to strike.
Nick Pollack

Founder of PitcherList.com. Rotographs and Washington Post contributor and has worked with CBS Sports, Grantland, and SB Nation. Former pitching coach and Brandeis alum.

Comments


Nick Pollack

Looks more like a temporary move as they don’t need him for the first week or so.

I have no problem swapping him with someone not on The List, there are a ton of “blegh” names at the end of it.

theKraken

What do you not like about Berrios over the offseason?
What about Bauer? – I know that question doesn’t make sense, but you strike me as a guy who would get a 90s movie reference. Surprised to see him trending up.
I don’t need to ask about Montgomery or Clevinger – I know that you just like them.

Nick

What would Stroman be ranked without the nagging injury issues this spring? 40s seems low for a guy who had a 3.10 ERA last season and is basically the righty version of Keuchel.

Nick Pollack

I trust Keuchel’s ability to create outs on batted balls plenty more than Stroman + he doesn’t have Toronto’s home infield and infield defense.

Stroman would be around the same spot as he doesn’t look to be missing any time.

Nick

Also, why Happ in the 70s? Dude is top 20 in ERA the last three seasons and his peripherals got better last year. You’d actually take Jake Junis and Mike Minor above him?

Nick Pollack

Happ is in the 70s because he has a terrible history of struggling on the field and doesn’t bring the upside of someone like McCullers or even Morton to justify him getting more love than others ahead of him.

Kevin

Hey Nick,

Thanks for your work as always! Quick Mets question (no, it’s not about the Syndergaard swap, which I totally understand): how much would you have to see from Steven Matz before he cracks the list? Terrible start to the spring, but a really strong last few starts and a solidified spot in the rotation. I’ve always loved him and have such high hopes, if he can just stay healthy…

Nick Pollack

I was definitely tempted to do it, but with his injury history + the major question of “is he even productive when he pitches?” made me elect to leave him off for now.

Show me good velocity and whiffs with his curveball and I’m game.

Tim

I know K/BB is one of the few ST stats that has any predictive value and wow Jake Junis’ 20/1 K/BB ratio this spring. Think he can really be a serviceable 7/8 starter in a 14 team league? What’s his upside, something like a mid 3’s ERA, 1.2 WHIP and an 8 K/9?

Nick

I get putting McCullers or Morton higher. But some of the names above Happ in the 60s don’t make much sense to me. Guys who have never pitched major innings as a starter at the MLB level and whose upside seems to be what Happ did last year.

Happ is 17th in ERA since 2015 (min. 400 IP). And he seemed to get better last year. He was top five at inducing soft contact. His K/BB trended above 3.00. He increased his o-swing rate. I get that he does it in an unconventional way with his reliance on two fastballs with mediocre velocity, and is a bit older, but as some point results are results.

Mike

Hey Nick, thanks for doing these. Based on listening to you on podcasts I thought you’d be higher on Aaron Sanchez. I was expecting him to be ranked closer to Clevinger. Is this because you’ve cooled, the injury risk or something else?

Nick Pollack

Is that so? I don’t think I hinted at a rise from Sanchez coming.

I’m fine taking a shot on him, but I think people are expecting him to be healthy this year and I just don’t see it. Paired with the fact that he needed more time to develop the K%, I’m worried he’ll be worth it.

Mike

I must be listening to too many podcasts then. It could have been one of your co-hosts or on Paul Sporer’s podcast. I’ve put Fulmer & Bauer in my lineup ahead of Sanchez until I see how he does in the first few starts.

Mitch

I expect Harvey to shoot up this list as the season progresses!

Any concern over how Paxton has looked this spring? You think he’s safe to rely on right out of the gate?
Thanks.

Nick Pollack

Nothing based on his playing but a reassessment of the field and what his value really is. I’d rather go for more upside players as I think you can find someone like Lynn on the wire of most 12-teamers.

Dan M

Thanks Nick! It seems that Tyler Chatwood is notably absent from The List. He’s looked good during camp. What are your thoughts?

Nick Pollack

Bad strikeout rate, even worse walk rate.

I don’t buy the home/road splits from last year save for some very good luck. Not someone I’d chase.

Tim Freeseman

12 Team Weekly Points League….Here’s my staff, looking for you’re evaluation:

Kershaw
McCullers (Straight up trade for Archer since I was able to grab Snell very late, Archer fell to me, but I’ve never really been too high on him, and didn’t want two Rays on my squad. Thoughts?)
Aaron Sanchez
Gausman
Wacha
Snell
Estrada
Vince Velasquez
Foltynewicz
Reynaldo Lopez
Tyson Ross (Minors Slot)
Eduardo Rodriguez (DL)

We only play one RP (Have Diaz & Familia)

I like it, but am I too heavy on upside?? Good luck this year…Tim

Nick Pollack

I’d much rather own Archer over McCullers, honestly.

I wish you had more sustainability in that staff as pretty much everyone outside of Kershaw is questionable to me.

Frank

Thanks just watched Vince Velazquez pitch he looked good. I was high on him last year. I only saw him throw a fast ball and curve not sure if he has a third pitch. Any thoughts?

Nick Pollack

You highlighted the problem – VV has a good fastball…and that’s about it. Curveball can be effective at times, slider is inconsistent, and I don’t love buying into it.

Nick Pollack

I’m very cautious with Cahill as he wasn’t the same when he returned from injury last season. There’s a lot more pointing to flop than success.

I’m worried I’ll be back to calling him his Irish doppelganger, Trevor O’Cahill.

Nick Pollack

I think Stratton turns into a solid end-of-staff arm in a 12-teamer with a touch of strikeout upside in his fantastic curveball and slider that flashes plus.

I think if Minor has decent velocity coming out of camp, the rest of repertoire speaks to an arm well above those in the 70s.

Ken

Could you touch a lottle on Mikolas over Junis? Traded Quintana this week and bow need a 12 team arm to fill out staff. Was condisdering both Mikolas and Junis but went Junis as there seems to be some K upside not yet discovered to go along with his command…

Kleh Kleh

Hey Nick- just had draft. You think this has what it takes?
Greinke, Price, Godley, Weaver, Castillo, Snell, ASanchez
thx…

Dan M

12 Team mixed H2H Points Weekly League Ended up with this staff, can still add a max of 12 SP and 5 RP. How do you think I faired?
Jose Berrios SP | MIN
Yu Darvish SP | CHC
Zack Godley SP | ARI
Reynaldo Lopez SP | CHW
James Paxton SP | SEA
Garrett Richards SP | LAA
Chris Sale SP | BOS 
Joe MusgroveRP,SP | PIT
Tyler Skaggs SP | LAA
Edwin Diaz RP | SEA
Greg Holland RP | COL 

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