The List 7/31: Ranking The Top 100 Starting Pitchers Every Monday

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Every Monday during the season, I will be releasing “The List” where I rank the current value of the Top 100 pitchers in fantasy baseball for the rest of the season. Use these rankings to help understand what to expect from pitchers for 2017 and as a tool to gauge trade value in your fantasy leagues.

Let’s see how the SP landscape has changed:

Notes

  • Some major news this week, with DL stints from Stephen Strasburg, Lance McCullers, Robbie Ray and David PriceBoth are expected to be in time for your playoffs, making their value a little different than your typical DL stints. Don’t treat their placements as strictly as others given the range of values given your league specifics.
  • I was expecting to lower Yu Darvish before today, but now that he is heading to the Dodgers, I had some hesitation. He’s going from Arlington to Los Angeles (a major hitter’s park to a major pitcher’s park) to the NL without a DH and will have Yasmani Grandal catching – one of the best defensive catchers – after pitching to Lucroy – one of the worst. Still, he’s been poor lately and I had to give him a small drop regardless of the change of atmosphere.
  • Luis Severino falls slightly only because there is increasing fear that he’ll be limited innings wise as the Yanks move toward a playoff hunt. There is no official word, but the risk is clearly there, making other less risky options jump ahead.
  • The injury of Lance McCullers opens the door once again for Brad Peacockwho had been demoted to the bullpen. He’s around just a little bit longer and you can pick him back up once again. If he happens to survive through the end of the season in the rotation, he’d be close to #30 here – that’s the kind of production we’re talking about.
  • Since the All-Star break, my biggest fears for Jacob Faria have sprouted, with multiple games of 4+ walks. He’s still an option you want to own, but if those walks are still around it could spell more trouble down the road. Let’s hope he rebounds and shaves them off in future starts.
  • Kevin Gausman shoots up as he has been in a groove across his last five starts, throwing more Splitters and getting plenty of First-Pitch Strikes. It’s well within reason that it could fade in a moment, but for now he’s a decent add for a hurting staff.
  • One of the losers in the Sonny Gray trade was Jordan Montgomery, who will in all likelihood be the one pushed out of the Yankee rotation. It’s been fun hanging with The Bear this season and I can’t wait to promote him through the off-season as a steal in your 17th round 2018 draft. He’s still here since it’s not entirely certain that he won’t return, but don’t be shocked if he’s gone next week.
  • It’s hard to refuse German Marquez of a major boost considering the 28 Ks he’s produced in just three starts. I don’t expect it to stick, but I’d be surprised if you don’t want to roll with him at the very least against the Mets and play it from there.
  • Around the 50s is where it becomes a free-for-all in terms of snagging upside, leading to Reynaldo Lopez finding himself inside the Top 70. There’s plenty of speculation that he’ll be called up in the next week or two, where he could be a benefit down the stretch. If you want an upside play and don’t need the help now, Lopez is your guy.
  • Once again, I have no idea where to place Aaron Sanchez and Robbie Ray as their timetables are unknown. They shouldn’t be dropped in most scenarios, but they won’t be helping for a bit. Make the play that suits your team best.
  • Steven Matz continues to fall as his mechanics are completely out of whack. It’s not out of the question he figures it out and gets into a groove, but it’s hard to invest in it right now. Not the worst flier if he has been dropped if you’re considering a final arm for a playoff run.
  • Joining The List this week are Luke Weaver, Adam Conley, Jason Hammel, Collin McHugh, and Ariel Miranda. Weaver has earned a rotation spot as Adam Wainwright nurse a hamstring injury, Conley has been commanding his Fastball incredibly well to earn success following a minor league stint, Hammel has been boring but surprisingly productive over his last 11 starts, McHugh has returned from injury showcasing an effective Curveball, and Miranda squeaks back after fanning 10 batters.
  • Leaving this week are Homer Bailey (ineffective), Brandon McCarthy (injured and rotation spot in question), Jake Odorizzi (injury), and Adam Wainwright (injury).
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Nick Pollack

Founder
Founder of both PitcherList.com and PitcherGIFs.com. Rotographs and Washington Post contributor and has worked with CBS Sports, Grantland, and SB Nation. Former pitching coach and Brandeis alum.

20 Responses to “The List 7/31: Ranking The Top 100 Starting Pitchers Every Monday”

  1. Mets014 July 31, 2017

    What do u think of Lucas Sims getting the call tmw? Does he make the list?

    Reply
    • Nick Pollack

      I’ve read that his Curveball is solid, but the rest of his arsenal is somewhat mediocre.

      I’ll obviously have more to say tomorrow, but my instinct is that he’s not worth it to chase in more leagues.

      Reply
      • The Kraken

        I believe he is supposed to have a good fastball as well. Pitching for the Braves without Matt Kemp is a pretty big problem though!

        Reply
  2. KilleBrews

    Why the continued love for Jose Berrios? He has been especially awful last 5 starts: 5.31 xFIP 7.6% SwStr rate 8.8 K-BB% and a declining ground ball rate. The only positive is that he continues to limit hard contact. He’s in Mike Pelfrey territory last 30…I drafted him so Im hoping youre right but not seeing it right now.

    Reply
    • Nick Pollack

      Because I like to believe that he can adjust and not continue pitching like his last five starts suggest. I could easily be wrong there, but he’s showed an ability to bounce back prior and his upside is absolutely tremendous.

      Reply
      • KilleBrews

        Tonight @ SD should tell a tale. If he pitches poorly in this spot as well, I dont see any reason to throw him going forward.

        Reply
      • KilleBrews

        Not exactly what i was looking for. 8% SwStr 23.5% GB rate 35.3% Hard hit rate .118 BABIP. Wouldnt feel comfortable throwing him at this point.

        Reply
  3. Chucky

    How far is Ian Kennedy outside the list? I think there’s enough to squeeze him in somewhere.

    Reply
    • Nick Pollack

      Not even kidding, he was on and off it multiple times as I was creating it this week. Think of him as 101. Blame Miranda getting 10 Ks.

      Reply
  4. Kyle

    Seems you’re very low on Kyle Hendricks. Would you drop him for German Marquez?

    Reply
    • Nick Pollack

      Yep! With Marquez showing his upside with flying colors and Hendricks being a mediocre play that can be replaced on most wires, I’d rather chase the upside in Marquez.

      Reply
      • Max

        Hendricks’ upside is borderline Cy Young. Gna be hard for German to top that.

        Reply
        • Nick Pollack

          And so is Rick Porcello’s if you want to make that argument.

          Reply
  5. moshedan

    assuming Reynaldo Lopez and Brent Honeywell are up today (and both starting) where do they immediately land on the list?

    im on pace to go over IP limit and i want to stash one of them? who has the higher upside?

    Reply
    • Nick Pollack

      I’d go Lopez since Honeywell is on a stricter innings limit.

      They would be both be around the mid 50s. Probably right ahead of Matz.

      Reply
  6. Rick Gold

    Drop Porcello for Reynaldo Lopez?

    Rest of Rotation:
    MadBum, R Hill, Duffy, Quintana, Salazar, Price, Castillo.

    Reply
  7. Clayton

    Would you advise giving up Cutch for Carrasco or should I not cut loose on such a hot Mccutchen right now? Thanks Nick

    Reply
  8. Tim

    Godley is not that good. I’d take any of those guys in the top 30 over him. I’m sorry but that is an outrageous ranking in my opinion

    Reply

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