The List 3/13: Spring Training Update Of The Top 100 Starting Pitchers
It has now been over a month since I revealed my Top 100 Starters for 2017 and, simply put, stuff has happened. Injuries have arisen, returning stars haven’t impressed, rotations have changed, or perhaps I’ve reassessed my stance on guys independent of their spring activities. Now that it’s draft season, I want to tweak my rankings a bit and solidify who I’m favoring over who as you dive through the rounds. Let’s do it.
- Obviously Alex Reyes has been removed as he’ll be getting TJS. Bummer. Luke Weaver gets a firm spot in the Top 100 now with a better chance at earning a hefty amount of starts across 2017.
- Anthony DeSclafani has flown back to Cincinnati for an MRI due to pain in his elbow. There is no way this ends well and he’s been removed from The List. Double bummer.
- With all signs pointing to Robert Gsellman earning the fifth spot in the rotation and Zack Wheeler having a slow spring than expected, Gsellman gets a huge bump, essentially taking Wheeler’s spot in the initial rankings.
- I expected Matt Harvey to have a better showing in the spring, but his velocity has been unimpressive and it’s hard for me to sit here with my bold Top 20 spot from last time. I wanted to believe, but now he’s at the back-end of the same tier.
- 200 innings of Michael Fulmer seems a lot more appealing these days than assuredly fewer innings from James Paxton and Steven Matz, giving the 2016 ROY a small bump.
- The more I consider Carlos Martinez, the more I see a breakout from him and have myself taking him above Masahiro Tanaka in drafts.
- I have become a major fan of Matt Andriese in the past month, given his minute walk rates and strikeout potential with a massive vertical drop differentiation between his Fastball and Changeup. I’m not expecting the world, but he belongs in the sneaky upside tier.
- With Julio Urias slatted to head to extended spring training, it’s hard to justify him coming off the board before a sturdy arm like Jerad Eickhoff. Meanwhile, teammate Alex Wood looks to be earning a spot on the Dodgers staff, who brings intriguing upside to the table.
- With the way Eduardo Rodriguez is pitching mixed with David Price’s unknown status with his “unique elbow”, both Red Sox pitchers are trending in different directions, with Eduardo heading to the 70s and Price to the 20s.
- I’m giving Dylan Bundy a little extra love as it came out that he’ll be reintroducing his Cutter back into the mix, a pitch that was previously heralded as the deadliest offering in his repertoire.
- Sonny Gray is sidelined with a lat-strain that will keep him out until late April, pushing him down the ranks.
- Zack Greinke is showing sub 90mph velocity thus far in the spring and while there’s time to ramp it back up, it’s hard not to dock him a few points given he already has a tough hill to climb at his atrocious 2016 season.
- I’m more and more encouraged about Daniel Norris’ increased velocity from the end of 2016 as he’s been pushed to the early 60s.