Analyzing Every Two-Start Pitcher For Week 4 (4/24 – 4/30)

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Every Friday I look at every projected two-start pitcher for the week ahead and detail my thoughts about rolling with them on your roster. There are four tiers: Definitely, Probably, Questionable, Bench. Definitely Start features starters that are no doubters for the week ahead followed by Probably Start with pitchers that look like good plays but may create a hesitation or two. Players labeled as Questionable are for deeper leagues or have one-of-two outings that should be skipped. Pitchers under Bench should be avoided despite their two starts in the week ahead.

Definitely Start

Clayton Kershaw (@SFG, PHI)

Chris Archer (@BAL, @TOR)

Madison Bumgarner (LAD, SDP)

Julio Teheran (@NYM, @MIL)

Stephen Strasburg (@COL, NYM)

Dallas Keuchel (@CLE, OAK)

Zack Greinke (SDP, COL)

Probably Start

Robert Gsellman (ATL, @WSH) – Gsellman looked like the pitcher we expected him to be this week and I’m rolling with him regardless of the Nationals matchup.

Rick Porcello (NYY, CHC) – Even with the Cubs, I find it hard to consider benching him after looking good last time out.

Amir Garrett (@MIL, @STL) – I don’t believe in Garrett long term, though with the way he’s going right now it’s difficult to deny him two starts.

Felix Hernandez (@CLE, @DET) – A pair of difficult matchups for Felix, but it would be overkill to reconsider.

Francisco Liriano (@LAA, TBR) – Liriano looked locked in during his last two starts and the Angels/Rays are two solid plays.

Jason Vargas (@CHW, MIN) – With the way Vargas is going right now, it’s hard to deny him a pair of starts against weak teams. Don’t like this long term, though.

Marco Estrada (@STL, TBR) – Marco was able to take care of the Red Sox, hard to not trust him against the Cards and Rays now.

Questionable

Hyun-Jin Ryu (@SFG, PHI) – Ryu hasn’t had the easiest of opponents thus far and heading to AT&T Park + hosting the Phils could work out well in his favor.

Luis Severino (BAL, @BOS )- Yes, there’s a ton of risk here. Yes he could also give you 15+ Ks across both starts.

JC Ramirez (OAK, @TEX) – It’s hard not taking a flier here with his plus velocity and breaking balls that worked exceptionally well against the Astros.

Vince Velasquez (@LAD, MIA) – VV is two starts removed from hint at his 2016 strikeout numbers and it could come back against the Dodgers/Marlins while the risk of disappointing outings is apparent.

Joe Ross (@COL, NYM) – A date in Coors is never welcome, though he could excel against the Mets.

Martin Perez (LAA, MIN) – I’m not a fan of Perez overall, but he gets two easy matchups that could work in his favor.

Kendall Graveman (@HOU, @LAA) – DLH is a real thing, which makes me cautious about his first start back against the Astros. Match that with concerning peripherals and a lack of love for his secondary pitches and this isn’t nearly as safe as it should be.

Michael Wacha (CIN, TOR) – It’s been ten years since the Reds are a scarier offense than the Jays and there’s clear risk here given Wacha’s inconsistencies.

Wei-Yin Chen (@PHI, PIT) – Chen is on the border of these two bottom tiers as he gets the best matchups for the week ahead. I’m not sure I believe he can command his heater well enough through two consecutive starts, but you can do worse if you really need two starts.

Bench

Jordan Zimmermann (CHW, SEA) – We are so far away from trusting Zim with two starts.

Josh Tomlin (HOU, SEA) – Tomlin used to be skilled at beating his peripherals. Not anymore.

Chris Rusin (@ARI, WSH) – Rusin in Coors and Coors-lite is not a recipe for success.

Brett Anderson (@BOS, @PIT) – I think that Pittsburgh start could be beneficial, though it’s not worth enduring a night against the Sawx.

Chad Kuhl (CHC, @MIA) – There may be times when Kuhl is a stream. These aren’t those times.

Clayton Richard (@ARI, @SFG) – Sure, Clayton has been a surprise so far but don’t expect it to last, especially against the Diamondbacks in Arizona.

Jhoulys Chacin (@ARI, @SFG) – It was a great start from Chacin last time out. One in a million, you could say.

Matt Cain (LAD, SDP) – It’s not a good idea to have faith in Cain.

Matt Garza (ATL, CIN) – Garza is returning from the DL, which means a DLH for the Braves and just a bad matchup for the Reds.

Miguel Gonzalez (KCR, @DET) – Miguel did great things against the Yankees. It wouldn’t be wise to expect that with any sort of regularity.

Patrick Corbin (SDP, COL) – Even if he gets the Padres, I need a bigger reward for risking an outing against the Rockies.

Phil Hughes (@KCR, @TEX) – Hughes and Texas don’t mix. Well, he was born there, but you get what I mean.

Ricky Nolasco (TOR, @TEX) – I haven’t been a Nolasco fan in…2008? 2013? Point is, not now.

Tyler Anderson (@ARI, WSH) – He finally had a good outing this year, though that momentum will be hard to carry forward heading to Coors-Lite and Coors for the Nationals.

Ubaldo Jimenez (TBR, @NYY) – Sure, he did well against the Reds last time out. There’s no way I’m banking on that continuing.

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Nick Pollack

Founder
Founder of both PitcherList.com and PitcherGIFs.com. Rotographs and Washington Post contributor and has worked with CBS Sports, Grantland, and SB Nation. Former pitching coach and Brandeis alum.

4 Responses to “Analyzing Every Two-Start Pitcher For Week 4 (4/24 – 4/30)”

  1. Chucky April 21, 2017

    Have 3 two start guys going next week, Vargas, Wacha and Gsellman. You have Gsellman over Wacha. Wacha has 2 starts at home, one v Toronto, with no DH and spiraling into oblivion. Gsellman has to go into our nations capital for one. Would you pass on any of my one start set and forget guys ( Max, Sale and [email protected] CHW) to find a place for anyone of my third 2 start pitchers?

    Reply
  2. Anonymous Collmenter

    Drop Folty for Neris in a 6×6 dynasty roto league with QS? Could use some saves. Here is my current staff:
    Verlander
    Fulmer
    Cole
    Maeda
    Ray
    Pineda
    Folty
    Gsellman
    Triggs
    Giolito
    Chapman
    A Miller
    Bush

    Thanks!

    Reply
  3. Moose

    Will you be posting an update considering the losses for this week?

    Reply
    • Nick Pollack

      Wasn’t planning on it, but I wouldn’t be starting Bumgarner’s replacement in standard leagues, maayyybe against the Padres if he impresses me against the Dodgers (which is unlikely).

      Otherwise, not much to update unless I’m forgetting someone.. Just nix Strasburg since he’s missing one start.

      Reply

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